PART 10: Nazism and
the German economic miracle By Henry C K
Liu
(Click
here for previous parts)
The term "social market
economy" was coined by one of German chancellor Ludwig
Erhard's close associates, economist Alfred Mueller-Armack, who
served as secretary of state at the Economics Ministry in Bonn
from 1958-63. Mueller-Armack defined social market economy as
combining market freedom with social equity,
with a vigilant regulatory regime to create
an equitable framework for free market processes. The
success of the social market economy made the Federal Republic of
Germany the dominant component in the European Union. Focusing on
the social aspect, Erhard himself shied away from praising free
markets. He felt that social rules of the market-economy game must
be adhered to as a precondition in order to prevent unbridled
pursuit of profit from gaining the upper hand.
Erhard's
concept of a socially responsive regulated market economy was
based on a fusion of the Bismarck legacy of
social welfare and US New Deal ideology of demand management
through full employment, price control, state subsidies,
anti-trust regulations, state control of monetary stability, etc.
It was aided by the infusion of foreign capital through the
Marshall Plan. It proved to be effective for rapid and strong
recovery of the West German economy via guaranteed access to the
huge US market during the Cold War, culminating in the postwar
economic miracle (Wirtschaftswunder).
Yet Erhard's
program bore a close resemblance to the early economic strategy of
the Third Reich. The main difference was that while the
Third Reich's program was one of economic nationalism, the Erhard
program was subservient to US geopolitical interests in the
context of the Cold War. By relying on US capital and US markets,
chancellors Konrad Adenauer and Erhard accepted the delay of
German independence from US domination for more than half a
century. In contrast, Nazi economic policy aimed at the
reconstruction of the German economy without the need for foreign
capital, as a program for total and immediate national
independence.
Hitler's economic miracle The
Nazis came to power in Germany in 1933, at a time when its economy
was in total collapse, with ruinous war-reparation obligations and
zero prospects for foreign investment or credit. Yet through
an independent monetary policy of sovereign credit and a
full-employment public-works program, the Third Reich was able to
turn a bankrupt Germany, stripped of overseas colonies it could
exploit, into the strongest economy in Europe within four years,
even before armament spending began. In fact, German economic
recovery preceded and later enabled German rearmament, in contrast
to the US economy, where constitutional roadblocks placed by the
US Supreme Court on the New Deal delayed economic recovery until
US entry to World War II put the US market economy on a war
footing. While this observation is not an endorsement for Nazi
philosophy, the effectiveness of German economic policy in this
period, some of which had been started during the last phase of
the Weimar Republic, is undeniable.
There were major
differences between the German situation in 1933 and that in 1945.
Not having been a battlefield in World War I, Germany
in 1933 was not physically in ruins, as it was in 1945.
What lay in ruins was its political and economic institutions. But
in 1933, Germany not only did not have the benefit of the Marshall
Plan, it was saddled with ruinous war reparations and an
inoperative credit rating. What Germany had in 1933 was full
sovereignty through which the Third Reich was able to adopt
policies of economic nationalism to full effectiveness. In 1945,
Germany was deprived of sovereign power and national policies had
to be adjusted to comply with US and Soviet geopolitical
intentions. Economically, the dependence on foreign investments
and credit forced West Germany into an export economy at the mercy
of its main market: the United States.
After two and a
half decades of economic reform toward neo-liberal market economy,
China is still unable to accomplish in economic reconstruction
what Nazi Germany managed in four years after coming to power, ie,
full employment with a vibrant economy financed with sovereign
credit without the need to export, which would challenge that of
Britain, the then superpower. This is because China made the
mistake of relying on foreign investment instead of using its own
sovereign credit. The penalty for China is that it
has to export the resultant wealth to pay for the foreign capital
it did not need in the first place. The result after more
than two decades is that while China has become a creditor to the
US to the tune of nearing China's own gross domestic product
(GDP), it continues to have to beg the US for investment capital.
The period between World Wars I and II, like no other
period in modern European economic history, saw the success of
centrally planned economies in Germany and the Soviet Union, two
major states. The United States as the dominant victor of World
War II was determined to perpetuate its hegemony by suppressing
national planning everywhere to prevent the emergence of economic
nationalism and socialism. It promoted global market capitalism
and neo-liberal free trade to keep all other economies subservient
to the US economy. It is the economic basis of the Pax Americana.
Stalin's New Economic Policy In the Soviet
Union, Josef Stalin's planned economy had followed the New
Economic Policy (NEP) of 1921-28. NEP was in essence a mixed
market economy; the main part of the market was in state
possession (banks, industries, foreign trade, etc), while the
peripheral part was owned by collective or private entrepreneurs.
NEP, while successful, did not give the Soviet economy sufficient
growth in the capital-goods sectors (ie coal, steel and
electricity, transportation, heavy industry, etc), nor did it
provide adequate food for the urban population even as the middle
peasantry managed to feed itself. To overcome such structural
obstacles and to combat general economic backwardness inherited
from centuries of Czarist rule, Stalin introduced central planning
as a strategy of national survival.
Starting from 1928,
the Soviet economy was put under a system of planning whereby all
modes of production were socialized and foreign trade was
de-emphasized in favor of an autarkic system of domestic demand
and supply. The irony was that Soviet central planning adopted
much of its effective techniques from successful US experience. It
was a system of planning focused solely on unit end-results while
externalizing social costs. The key distinction was that the
Soviets rejected and bypassed the corporate structure and replaced
shareholders with state ownership. Stalin brought about
"revolution from above". Its main features were:
strengthening of political dictatorship in the name of the
proletariat (equivalent to enhancing management authority in the
US in the name of shareholders), collectivizing kulak
peasants (equivalent to agri-business development in the US),
emergency measure authority (equivalent to government bailouts and
regulations in the US), introduction of a five-year plan structure
(adopted from US corporate strategic planning) and rapid expansion
of urban labor force (equivalent to urbanization in the US), and
tight state control over agriculture (equivalent to farm subsidy
programs in the US), heavy industry (equivalent to defense
contracts in the US) and finance (equivalent to central banking in
the US). Between 1934 and 1936 the Soviet economy achieved a
spectacular economic growth rate that continued despite political
purges of Trotskyites between 1936 and 1938. Economic growth was
unfortunately interrupted by war in 1941. German invasion of the
Union of Soviet Socialist Republics was not independent of
apprehension of continued Soviet economic success.
Propaganda
works. It worked in the USSR, in Nazi Germany, in imperial Japan
and in the capitalist US, each to instill in the general public an
acceptance of its system as being the suitable one if not the
best, despite visible shortcomings. It helped achieve optimal
effectiveness and stability in the overall economy in all these
countries.
Nazi Germany provided another example of
successful inter-war economic planning. One of the main
differences between the Nazi and the Soviet economic systems was
that the Nazis' was a mixed economy with strict state control
while the Soviets' was a state-owned economy. Furthermore, being
heavily influenced by the ideas of Walter Rathenau (1867-1922),
German economic planners did not seek to build anew with
revolutionary zeal as the Russians did, but rather to reform,
molding the existing form of decentralized capitalism into a more
effective centralized system with massive combines to support
national aims.
The Rathenau factor Rathenau,
German industrialist, social theorist, and statesman, was the son
of Emil Rathenau (1838-1915), founder of the gigantic German
public utilities company Allgemeine Elektrizitaetsgesellschaft
(AEG). He directed the distribution of raw materials in World War
I and became minister of reconstruction (1921) and later foreign
minister (1922) of the Weimar Republic. He represented Germany at
the Cannes and Genoa reparations conferences and negotiated the
Treaty of Rapallo in which Germany accorded the USSR de jure
recognition, the first such recognition extended to the new Soviet
government. The two signatories mutually canceled all prewar and
war debts and renounced war claims. Particularly advantageous to
Germany was the inclusion of a most-favored-nation clause and of
extensive free-trade agreements. The treaty enabled the German
army, through secret agreements, to produce and perfect in the
USSR weapons forbidden by the Treaty of Versailles. A Jew,
Rathenau was assassinated in 1922 by anti-Semitic nationalist
fanatics who opposed his attempts to fulfill war-reparation
obligations to the Western victors. A strong nationalist who
played an important role in Germany's war efforts in World War I,
Rathenau was also a strong proponent of postwar international
cooperation and his diplomatic initiatives played a key role in
breaking Germany's postwar diplomatic isolation.
In his
writings, Rathenau criticized free-market capitalism and argued
that technological change and industrialization were pushing
civilization toward a stage of high mechanization, in which the
human soul would be under threat. In an attempt to find an
alternative to laissez-faire capitalism that did not involve state
socialism and Marxism, Rathenau proposed a decentralized,
democratic social order, in which the workers would have more
control over production and the state would exert more control
over the economy. His translated works include In Days to Come
(1921) and The New Society (1921). Despite his great
contribution to the German economy, Rathenau epitomized the living
target of Adolf Hitler's accusation of internationalist Jewish
treachery that betrayed the German nation. Hitler's rejection of
the loyal nationalist support of the German Jews played an
undeniable role in his own defeat. Jewish contribution to the
flowering of German economy, culture and civilization had been the
strongest in any European nation. Nazi persecution of the Jews was
a strategic error more fundamental than the Nazi invasion of the
USSR. The emigration of German Jews to the West, particularly to
the US, played a critical role in the defeat of Germany in World
War II. It is a lesson that the Arab nation in general, and
Palestinians in particular, have yet to learn.
The
economic power of full employment From the very outset of
his rule, Hitler, whose main short-term goal was the economic
revival of Germany with the help of German nationalist bankers and
industrialists, won popular support of the nation. Hitler adopted
an aggressive full-employment campaign. Between January 1933 and
July 1935 the number of employed Germans rose by a half, from 11.7
million to 16.9 million. More than 5 million new jobs paying
living wages were created. Unemployment was
banished from the German economy and the entire nation was
productively engaged in reconstruction. Inflation was brought
under control by wage freeze and price
control. Besides this, taking into account the lessons
learned during 1914-18, Hitler aimed at creating an economy that
would be independent from foreign capital and supply, and be well
protected from another blockade and economic war. For Germans, all
of the above was proof that Hitler was the one who had not only
brought Germany out of economic depression but would take it
directly to prosperity with new pride. German popular trust in the
Fuehrer rose dramatically.
In September 1936, British
economist John Maynard Keynes, whose ideas had been credited as
behind US president Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal, prepared a
preface for the German translation of his book, The General
Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Addressing a
readership of German economists, Keynes wrote: "The theory of
aggregate production, which is the point of the following book,
nevertheless can be much easier adapted to the conditions of a
totalitarian state, than ... under conditions of free competition
and a large degree of laissez-faire. This is one of the reasons
that [justify] the fact that I call my theory a general theory.
Although I have, after all, worked it out with a view to the
conditions prevailing in the Anglo-Saxon countries where a large
degree of laissez-faire still prevails, nevertheless it remains
applicable to situations in which state management is more
pronounced." Keynes clearly understood that the greater the
degree of state control over any economy, the easier it would be
for the government to manage the levers of monetary and fiscal
policy to manipulate macroeconomic aggregates of total output,
total employment, and the general price and wage levels for
purposes of moving the overall economy into directions more to the
economic-policy analyst's liking.
The radical Spartacists
in Germany regrouped themselves as the Communist Party in 1920.
They continued their opposition to the liberal government of the
Weimar Republic. From 1923-29, the Communists always obtained
about 10% of the seats in the Reichstag. Unlike
elitist Italian Fascism, Nazism had a high regard for the German
peasant. Unlike Fascist Italy, Nazi Germany, while imposing
sweeping government control over all aspects of the economy, was
not a corporate state.
In
four short years, Hitler's Germany was able to turn a Germany
ravaged by defeat in war and left in a state national malaise by
the liberal policies of the Weimar Republic, with a bankrupt
economy weighted down by heavy foreign war debt and the total
unavailability of new foreign capital, into the strongest economy
and military power in Europe. How did Germany do it? The
centerpiece was Germany's Work Creation Program of 1933-36,
which preceded its rearmament program. Neo-liberal economists
everywhere seven decades later have yet to acknowledge that
employment is all that counts and living
wages are the key to national prosperity. Any economic
policy that does not lead to full employment is self-deceivingly
counterproductive, and any policy that
permits international wage arbitrage is treasonous. German
economic policies between 1930 and 1932 were brutally
deflationary, which showed total indifference to high
unemployment, and in 1933 Hitler was elected chancellor out of the
socio-economic chaos.
The financing of Nazi
economic-recovery programs drew upon sovereign credit creation
techniques already experimented prior to Hitler's appointment as
chancellor. What changed after 1933 was the
government's willingness to create massive short-term sovereign
credit and the its firm commitment to retire
in full the debt created by that credit. Short-term
sovereign credit was important to change the general climate of
distrust on government credit. The quick rollover of short-term
government notes created popular trust within months in German
sovereign credit domestically.
Hitler told German
industrialists in May 1933 that economic recovery required action
by both the state and the private sector. The government's role
was limited to encouraging private-sector investment, mainly
through tax incentives. He expressed willingness to provide
substantial public funding only for highway
projects, not for industry. Investment was unlikely if
consumers had no money to spend or were afraid because of job
insecurity to spend money to buy products produced, and Hitler
understood that workers needed decent income to become healthy
consumers. Thus full employment was
the kick-start point of the economic cycle. To combat traditional
German fear of the social consequences of appearing better off
than their neighbors, Nazi propaganda
would psychologically stimulate the economy by developing a lust
for life among consumers.
Hitler stressed on May 31, 1933,
that the Reich budget must be balanced. A balanced budget meant
reducing expenditures on social programs, because Hitler intended
to reduce business taxes to promote needed private investment. To
avoid reducing social programs, a large work program without
deficit spending had to be financed outside of the Reich budget.
Hitler resorted to "pre-financing"
(Vorfinanzierung)
by means of "work-creation bills"
(Arbeitsbeschaffungswechseln),
a classic response of using monetary measures to deal with a
fiscal dilemma.
Under the scheme of "pre-financing"
with work-creation bills, the Reich Finance Ministry distributed
these WCB (work-creation bills
(Arbeitsbeschaffungswechseln))s (three months, renewable up
to five years) to participating credit institutions and public
agencies. Contractors and suppliers who required cash to
participate in work-creation projects drew bills against the
agency ordering the work or the appropriate credit institutions.
These credit institutions then accepted (assumed liability for
payment of) the bills, which, now treated as
commercial paper, could rediscount the bills at the Reichsbank
(central bank). The entire process of drawing, accepting
and discounting WCBs provided the cash necessary to pay the
contractors and suppliers. The experience of successful rollover
every three months quickly established credit worthiness. The
Reich Treasury undertook to redeem these bills, one-fifth of the
total every year, between 1934 and 1938, as the economy and tax
receipts recovered. As security for the bills, the Reich Treasury
deposited with the credit institutions a corresponding amount of
tax vouchers (Steuergutscheine) or
other securities. As the Treasury redeemed WCB(work-creation
bills (Arbeitsbeschaffungswechseln))s, the tax vouchers
were to be returned to the Treasury. Hitler increased the money
supply in the German economy by creating special
money for employment.
In the US Banking
Panic of 1907, J P Morgan (1837-1913) did in essence the same
thing. He strong-armed US banks to agree to settle accounts
among themselves with clearinghouse certificates he issued rather
than cash and thus illegally increased the money supply
without involving the government, and ended up owning a much
larger share of the financial sector paid for with his own paper,
ironically with the gratitude of the government. The difference
was that the economic benefit went to Morgan personally rather
than to the nation as in Nazi Germany and the
private money was used to save the banks rather than to save the
unemployed.
Nazi economic
experts understood that sovereign credit creation for purposes of
job creation posed no inflationary threat and that it
would be a far more responsible policy than the conservative
approach of tax increases and welfare cuts to balance government
budgets. The idiotic policy of monetary restraint and
social-spending reduction to balance government budgets in order
to pay foreign debts is still being advocated by the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) in debtor nations around the world - except
for the United States, the world's largest debtor nation,
which uses dollar hegemony as an escape hatch or, more to the
point, escape hedge. Redeeming WCBs did burden the 1934-39 Reich
budget, but the decline in Reich expenditure for welfare support
and other tax subsidies as a result of full employment recovery
more than offset the redemption payments. The surplus was then
used to reduce public debt and taxes further.
There were
legal, political and institutional restrictions unique to Germany
on the scope of the Reichsbank that virtually dictated resources
to WCB (work-creation bills
(Arbeitsbeschaffungswechseln))s as a way of putting 6
million unemployed Germans back to work. But the principle of
WCB (work-creation
bills (Arbeitsbeschaffungswechseln))s can
be applied to the US or China or any other country today to
combat unacceptably high levels of unemployment. Alas, this
common-sense approach is faced with firm opposition rationalized
by obscure theories of inflation in most countries. The real
reason is that the banking sector can reap excess profit by
treating high unemployment as an externality in the economy that
translates high unemployment and low wages directly into corporate
profits. The profit from
high unemployment is kept in private hands, while the cost of high
unemployment is socialized as government expenditure.
In
1933, Hitler sought to reassure Germany's business leadership that
Nazi rule was consistent with the preservation of the free-market
system, because he needed the support of the industrialists. He
could buy that support by keeping wages down during the recovery,
but any rigorous effort to curb prices and profits would alienate
the business community and slow down economic recovery. Instead,
Hitler sought to restore profitability to German business through
reduced unit cost achieved by increasing output and sales volume,
rather than through a general increase in prices
(Mengenkonjunktur,
niche Preiskonjunktur - output
boom, not price boom). Adoption of "performance wage"
(Leistungslohn - payment on a price-rate basis) increased
labor productivity, thereby driving costs down and profit up. Some
upward price movements were permitted to adjust price
relationships between agricultural and manufactured products and
between goods with elastic and inelastic demands, also to prevent
price wars and below-cost dumping. These
principles of "output boom, not price boom" and
"performance wage" could also work
in combating inflation today in many economies generally
and China specifically.
Hitler saved the German farmers
from their heavy debt burden through relief programs and through
subsidized farm prices. The stable farm income came at the
expenses of the middlemen institutions, but Hitler sustained
popular support by the provision of living income to consumers.
Had Nazi Germany been a member of the World Trade Organization
(WTO), this option would have been foreclosed to it. Hitler sought
price stability only in sectors critical to the national economy
and to the ultimate goal of rearmament. Germany had no overall
price policy until the 1936 Four Year Plan, which concentrated
economic authority in the hands of Hermann Goering for war
production and put an end to regulated free-market policies.
Business managers generally make investment and employment
decisions based on their judgment of the prospect for new orders.
The difference between German economic recovery under Hitler and
US economic stagnation under Roosevelt in the 1930s was the degree
of uncertainty for new orders for goods. Hitler
made it clear that after 1936, a major rearmament program would
make heavy demand on German durable-goods and capital-goods
industries without the need to export. With that assurance,
German industry could plan expansion with confidence. Roosevelt
was unable to provide such "confidence" to industry and
had to rely on anemic market forces until after the Japanese
attack on Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.
The Marshall Plan: A
Trojan horse for monetary conquest The Marshall Plan grew
out of the Truman Doctrine, proclaimed in 1947, stressing the
moralistic duty of the United States to combat communist regimes
worldwide. The Marshall Plan spent US$13 billion (out of a 1947
GDP of $244 billion or 5.4%, or $632 billion in 2004 dollars) to
help Europe recover economically from World War II to keep it from
communism. The money actually did not all come out of the US
government's budget, but out of US sovereign credit. The most
significant aspect of the Marshall Plan was the US government
guarantee to US investors in Europe to exchange their profits
denominated in weak European currencies back into dollars at
guaranteed fixed rates, backed by gold at $35 an ounce.
The
Marshall Plan helped establish the US dollar as the world's
reserved currency at fixed exchange rates established by
the IMF, which had been created by the Bretton Woods Conference.
The Marshall Plan enabled international trade to resume and laid
the foundation for dollar hegemony for more than half a century
even after the dollar was taken off gold by president Richard
Nixon in 1971. While the Marshall Plan did help the German economy
recover, it was not entirely a selfless gift from the victor to
the vanquished. It was more a Trojan horse for monetary conquest.
It condemned Germany's economy to the status of a dependent
satellite of the US economy from which it has yet to free itself
fully.
The Marshall Plan lent Europe the equivalent of
$632 billion in 2004 dollars. Japan's foreign-exchange reserves
alone were $830 billion at the end of September 2004. In other
words, Japan was lending more to the United States in 2004 than
the Marshall Plan lent to Europe in 1947. And Japan did not get
any benefits, because the loan is denominated in dollars that the
US can print at will, and dollars are useless in Japan unless
reconverted to yen, which because of dollar hegemony Japan is not
in a position to do without reducing the yen money supply, causing
the Japanese economy to contract and the yen exchange rate to
rise, thus hurting Japanese export competitiveness.
West
Germany's postwar economy functioned well for several decades, and
became one of Europe's strongest. Much of
its success was due to the German tradition of strong social
welfare that dated back to the days of Otto von Bismarck a century
earlier, and the system of co-determination, which gave workers in
factories a voice about their management and provided West German
industries a long period of labor peace. The economics of
the Cold War also gave Germany guaranteed markets in the US. The
export-oriented economy received another boost with the creation
of the European Economic Community (EEC)
by the Treaty of Rome in March 1957.
West Germany was one of the EEC's founding members. Since the end
of the Cold War, this economic order has been under threat from
neo-liberal globalization that first attacked the developing
economies in Latin America and then the world over.
Sovereignty,
finance capitalism and democracy Jean Bodin (1530-96), the
first thinker in the West to develop the modern theory of
sovereignty, held that in every society there must be one
power with the legitimate authority to give law to all others.
The Edict of Nantes issued by Henry of Navarre, the Huguenot
(French Calvinist) chief, who reigned as Henry IV in 1598, was a
sovereign edict that laid the foundation of French royal
absolutism of the sovereign state. The Edict protected a Huguenot
minority, composed mostly of members of the aristocracy, against
popular opposition from the Catholic peasants with the support of
the papacy. Henry IV was a member of the politiques who
believed that no religious doctrine was important enough to
justify ever-lasting war. He abjured the Calvinist faith in 1593
and subjected himself to papal absolution, supposedly remarking
that Paris was well worth a Mass. He wanted to rebuild France from
a war-torn economy caused by religious strife into a prosperous
nation, with "a chicken in every
pot" for every French family, a phrase borrowed by
Roosevelt two and a half centuries later to describe the goal of
his New Deal.
The Edict to protect the Protestant
aristocrats led to the assassination of the converted Catholic
king by a Catholic fanatic in 1610. The widowed queen, Marie de
Medici, a devout Catholic and scion of the celebrated banking
family of Florence, handed control of France to Cardinal
Richelieu, who undertook a secular policy to enhance the economic
interest of the state with mercantilist measures,
by allowing the aristocracy to engage in maritime trade
without loss of noble status, and
by making it possible for merchants to become nobles
through payments to the royal exchequer.
This provided a political union of the aristocracy and the
bourgeois elite that held the nation together until the French
Revolution of 1789.
In 1627, the Duke of Rohan led a
Huguenot rebellion from La Rochelle with English military support.
Richelieu suppressed the rebellion ruthlessly and modified the
Edict of Nantes with the Peace of Alais in 1629, by allowing the
Huguenots to keep their religion but stripping them of their
instruments of political power: their fortified cities, their
Protestant armies and all their military and territorial autonomy
and rights. Calvinism has been identified by social
historians as the driving force behind modern capitalism.
The
Age of New Monarchy in Europe laid the foundation for the age of
sovereign nation-states by placing royal authority to institute a
fairer social contract above feudal rights, a development that
began in the High Middle Ages. The new monarchs presented the
institution of monarchy as a progressive guarantor of law and
order and promoted hereditary monarchy as the legitimate means
of transferring public power. Monarchism was supported by the
urban bourgeoisie, as it had long been victimized by the private
wars and marauding excesses of the feudal lords. The
bourgeoisie was willing to pay taxes directly to the king in
return for peace and royal protection from aristocratic abuse.
Its members were willing to let parliament, the stronghold of the
aristocracy, be dominated by the king who
was expected to be a populist. The direct collection of
popular taxes by the king, bypassing the feudal lords, gave the
king the necessary resources to maintain a standing army to keep
the feudal lords in check. These new monarchs revived Roman law,
which favored the state and incorporated the will and welfare of
the people in their own persons. Direct payment of taxes to the
sovereign also ensured that future wars were fought to protect or
enhance national interests, rather than at the personal pleasure
of the king. The new monarchs ruled by the mandate of the
dictatorship of the bourgeoisie, just as communist governments
ruled centuries later with the mandate of the dictatorship of the
proletariat. It was by protecting the
people against abuses from aristocratic special interests that the
king protected himself, a principle that escaped Louise
XVI of France to his own sorrow.
Today, as the institution
of democracy is supplanted by control by the moneyed class,
democracy will lose its popular mandate. What
the US needs is not to spread democracy around the world, but to
restore economic democracy at home. Similarly,
when the Chinese Communist Party permits neo-liberal market
fundamentalism to distant itself from its revolutionary mission of
protecting the peasant masses from market abuse, it will lose its
mandate as the legitimate defender of the dictatorship
of the proletariat. What China needs is not political
reform to accommodate capitalistic democracy, but a restoration of
its revolutionary ideological line in its political institutions
and a renewal of populist commitment on the part of its
leadership. Political reform driven by flawed ideology is
institutional suicide.
The new monarchies in Europe, by
breaking down feudal tariff barriers within the kingdom,
contributed to the rise of the commercial revolution and the
development of extended cross-border markets. In the rise of
capitalism, the needs of a new military not dependent on the
aristocracy had been of critical importance. The standing national
armies of the new monarchs required sudden expenditures in times
of war that the traditional feudal dues and normal flow of tax
revenue could not meet. Private bankers
emerged to finance wars by lending money to the kings secured by
the right to collect taxes in the future from conquered lands.
The medieval prohibition of interest as usury, denounced as the
sin of avarice and forbidden by canon laws, faded in practice even
as it continued to be upheld by all religions. Luther denounced
"Fruggerism" in reference to the bankers of the Holy
Roman Empire. Even Calvinism only gradually made allowances on the
issue of interest.
The new monarchies, caught between
fixed income and mounting expenses, were forced to devalue their
money by diluting its gold content. They began to borrow from
private banks to deal with recurring monetary crises. These
monetary crises led to constitutional crises that produced
absolute monarchies in Europe and the triumph of bourgeois
parliamentarianism in England. The need to
find new conquered lands to repay sovereign indebtedness gave
birth to imperialism and colonialism, which the Atlantic
Charter centuries later categorically rejected in the third of its
eight points of "common principles in the national policies
of their respective countries on which they base their hopes for a
better future for the world". The third point stated that
"they [the US and Britain, and later the United Nations
members] respect the right of all peoples to choose the form of
government under which they will live; and they wish to see
sovereign rights and self-government restored to those who have
been forcibly deprived of them".
German rearmament
to defend neo-imperialism Notwithstanding the high-sounding
rhetoric of the Atlantic Charter, the outbreak of the Korean War
in 1950 provided a propaganda opening for the US to impress on its
submissive Western allies in the United Nations that international
communism was a clear and present danger to residual Western
imperialism and colonialism in the Third World. Under president
Harry Truman, the US began to abandon its wartime anti-colonialist
posture and to solicit the help of European imperialists,
particularly the British and French, to support its global war on
communism.
Colonel Harry G Summers Jr, US Army (retired),
in an article in Military History magazine titled "The Korean
War: A fresh perspective", pointed out that during a
post-Cold War Pentagon briefing in 1974, General Vernon Walters,
then deputy director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA),
revealed what amounted to the unpredictability of US policy
intentions on Korea: "If a Soviet KGB spy had broken into the
Pentagon or the State Department on June 25, 1950, and gained
access to our most secret files, he would have found the US had no
interest at all in Korea. But the one place he couldn't break into
was the mind of Harry Truman, and two days later America went to
war over Korea."
Truman,
unprepared for global leadership, insecure and paranoid, fell
under the spell of Winston Churchill, who, borrowing from
Lenin, equated anti-imperialism with anti-capitalism. Churchill
aimed at using the Cold War as a device to save European
imperialism by offering the fruits of neo-imperialism to
the US in the name of democracy. In taking the United States to
war in Korea, Truman, in addition to placing
the US firmly on the side of imperialists, made two
critical decisions that would shape future US military actions.
First, he decided to fight the war under the auspices
of the United Nations, a pattern followed by president Lyndon
B Johnson in the Vietnam War in 1964, president George H W Bush in
the Gulf War in 1991, by president Bill Clinton in
Bosnia-Herzegovina in 1999, and by President George W Bush in
Afghanistan in 2001 and in Iraq in 2003. Second, for the first
time in US military history, Truman decided to take the nation
to war without first asking Congress for a declaration of war.
Using the UN Security Council resolution as his authority, he said
the conflict in Korea was not a war but a "police action".
With the Soviet Union then boycotting the Security Council, the
United States was able to gain approval of UN resolutions labeling
the North Korean invasion a "breach of the peace" and
urging all members to aid South Korea, notwithstanding that both
North and South Korea had been aiming for unification by force for
several years.
Another consequence of the Korean War was
damage to the image of the UN as a neutral
world body. Secretary general Trygve Lie was forced to
resign over Soviet complaints of the way he manipulated Security
Council procedures to comply with US dictates.
Colonel
Summers pointed out that, in reality, UN
involvement was a facade for unilateral US action to
protect its vital interests in northeast Asia. The UN Command was
just another name for General Douglas MacArthur's US Far East
Command in Tokyo. At its peak strength in July 1953, the UN
Command stood at 932,539 ground troops. Republic of Korea (ROK)
army and marine forces accounted for 590,911 of that force, and US
Army and Marine Corps forces for another 302,483. By comparison,
other UN ground forces totaled 39,145 men, 24,085 of whom were
provided by British Commonwealth Forces (Britain, Canada,
Australia and New Zealand) and 5,455 of whom came from Turkey. The
troop composition was similar to that of the "coalition of
the willing" in the 2003 Iraq war. While the UN facade
was detrimental to the prestige of the UN, Truman's decision not
to seek a declaration of war set a dangerous precedent in the
erosion of the constitutional power of the US Congress.
Claiming
that their war-making authority rested in their power as
commanders-in-chief, both Johnson and Nixon refused to ask
Congress for approval to wage war in Vietnam, a major factor in
undermining popular support for that conflict. In the entire
history of the United States, only
seven wars had been declared by Congress, with World War II the
last declared war. Ten other wars were not
declared:
the Florida Seminole Wars, 1817-58;
the Civil War, 1861-65;
the Korean War, 1950-53;
the Vietnam War, 1964-72;
the first Gulf War, 1991;
the war on drugs, 1980s to the present;
the Kosovo war, 1999;
the "war on terror", 2001 to the present;
Operation Enduring Freedom (Afghanistan), 2001; and
the second Gulf war (Iraq), 2003.
Instead of formal war declarations, the US Congress has issued
authorizations of force. Such authorizations have included
the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution of 1964 that officially initiated US
participation in the Vietnam War, and the "use-of-force"
resolution that started the 2003 Iraq war. Questions remain as to
the legality of these authorizations of force.
Ironically,
the Federal Republic of Germany, whose own empire had been
partitioned out of existence since the end of World War I, was
pushed to contribute financially to its own defense against Soviet
threat so that its less prosperous but victorious imperialist
allies, Britain and France, could spend their hard-pressed
resources to defend their crumbling empires outside of Europe in
the name of democracy.
For West Germany, five years after
having lost the most devastating of all wars, this meant forming a
new army, a step unthinkable for many Germans who had just gone
through de-Nazification and demilitarization indoctrination during
Allied occupation. But the worldwide "Korean War boom"
of 1950 came at exactly the right moment for an export-addicted
Germany eager to capture new overseas markets. As West Germany
prospered from profits garnered from new wars to defend
imperialism in Asia, the US was in a position to push Germany into
rearmament, despite the fact that German rearmament was anathema
not only to German citizens, but also to all their apprehensive
neighbors, especially France. As the Korean War continued,
however, opposition to rearmament lessened within West Germany,
and China's entry into the war caused Gaullist France, which was
apprehensive of the liberating impact of Asian communism on its
crumbling empire in Southeast Asia, to revise its negative posture
toward German rearmament, as long as the new German war machine
was oriented toward the east. Instead of the tradition
Franco-Russian alliance against a powerful Germany, the French
began to see benefits in using the Germans to deter Soviet
intentions to march toward Paris. It was a classic
balance-of-power move. Germany, deprived of sovereign authority,
was at the mercy of superpower global conflict.
To contain
a newly armed Germany, French officials proposed the creation of
the European Defense Community (EDC) under the aegis of North
Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), but with strengthened
European control, with a European Army to run in parallel with the
European Steel and Coal Community that France and Germany had
formed earlier. Within the EDC context was the need to rearm West
Germany to counter the Soviet Union's overwhelming superiority in
military manpower. Adenauer quickly agreed to join the EDC because
he saw membership as likely to enhance the eventual full
restoration of German sovereignty. The treaties establishing the
EDC were signed in May 1952 in Bonn by the Western Allies and West
Germany. Britain refused to be part of it, seeing its armed forces
as being more important to NATO, the Commonwealth and the special
relationship with the US than to Europe.
Arguments arose
over who would have ultimate control over the army - would it be
the EDC or would it be the national governments? The whole idea
eventually fell apart, although West Germany was welcomed into
NATO and the West European Union (WEU) was created. Although the
German Bundestag ratified the treaties, the EDC was ultimately
blocked by the French National Assembly, because it opposed
putting French troops under foreign command. The French veto meant
that Adenauer's attempt to regain German sovereignty through
disguised militarism had failed and a new formula was needed to
allay French fears of a strong Germany.
The failed
negotiations surrounding the planned rearmament of West Germany
through the creation of the EDC nevertheless provoked a Soviet
countermeasure. After a second East German proposal for talks on a
possible unification of the two German states failed because of
West Germany's demands for free elections in the German Democratic
Republic (GDR), the Soviet Union put forth a new proposal to its
wartime Western Allies in March 1952. The Soviet Union would agree
to German unification if the Oder-Neisse border were recognized as
final and if a unified Germany were to remain neutral. If the
proposal were accepted, Allied troops would leave Germany within
one year, and a united neutral Germany would obtain its full
sovereignty.
The offer, directed to the Western Allies
rather than Germany, which, deprived of sovereignty, had no
authority to negotiate its own fate, nevertheless aroused lively
public discussion in West Germany about the country's political
future. Adenauer was afraid that neutrality would mean Germany's
exclusion from US-dominated Western Europe and that without US
support, he and his conservative Christian Democrats might not
stay in power, in view of the traditional strength of the Social
Democrats or, worse, the communists. Encouraged by the United
States, Adenauer demanded free elections in all of Germany as a
precondition for negotiations, a demand he knew was unacceptable
to both the Soviets and East Germany, as Western-style elections
would be financed by money from the US to ensure the defeat of
communist and socialist candidates, repeating the postwar
political sham in both West Germany and Japan. The Soviet Union
declined and abandoned its proposal. Adenauer was harshly
criticized by the opposition for not having seized this
opportunity for unification. By allying itself with the US, West
Germany sacrificed its unification with East Germany for half a
century. A divided Germany provided a balance-of-power arrangement
between the two superpowers all through the Cold War.
Adenauer's
decision to turn down the Soviet proposal left Germany divided for
the then foreseeable future. West Germany was then expected to
remain firmly anchored in the Western defense community. Yet doubt
remained in Washington on whether Germans would kill other Germans
to protect US interests in Europe.
After plans for the EDC
failed because of the French veto, negotiations were successfully
concluded on the Treaties of Paris in May 1954, which ended the
Occupation Statute and made West Germany a member of the Western
European Union and of NATO. NATO was the vehicle to camouflage US
geopolitical interests in Europe with a common goal among the
Western Allies against Soviet communism. On May 5, 1955, the
Federal Republic of Germany declared its sovereignty as a state
and, as a new member of NATO, undertook to contribute to the
organization's defense effort by building up its own armed forces,
the Bundeswehr. German rearmament was to be camouflaged under the
NATO umbrella. West German soldiers could now be counted on to
fight East German soldiers to protect Western Europe against
communism. Militarism was the price the United States extracted
for granting Germany a facade of independent sovereignty, but not
yet full independence of foreign or security policy, as NATO
continued to be dominated by the US, with its mission framed by US
geopolitical interests.
The buildup of the Bundeswehr met
considerable popular opposition within West Germany. To avoid
isolating the army from the country's civilian and political life,
as was the case historically up to the fall of the Weimar
Republic, laws were passed that guaranteed civilian control over
the armed forces and gave the individual soldier a new social
status. Members of the conscription army were to be "citizens
in uniform" and were encouraged to take an active part in
democratic politics, in contrast to the Junker tradition of a
warrior class. This was done to inject a measure of consideration
of German domestic politics into US-dominated NATO
decision-making.
By 1955, the Soviet Union had abandoned
efforts to secure a neutralized united Germany. After the Four
Power Conference in Geneva in July that year, Adenauer accepted an
invitation to visit Moscow, seeking to open new lines of
communication with the East without compromising West German
commitments to the West. On the other side, Moscow wanted to
exploit German apprehension of being in the front line of
hostility to create a voice of caution within NATO. In Moscow in
September, Adenauer arranged for the release of 10,000 German war
prisoners in the Soviet Union. In addition, without having
recognized the division of Germany or the Oder-Neisse line as
permanent, West German negotiators also established diplomatic
relations with the Soviet Union.
The Soviet Union
recognized the German Democratic Republic as a sovereign state in
1954, and the two communist countries established diplomatic
relations. The Federal Republic of Germany (FRG) had not, however,
recognized the GDR. And to dissuade other countries from
recognizing East Germany, Adenauer's foreign policy adviser,
Walter Hallstein, proposed that the FRG break diplomatic relations
with any country that recognized the GDR. Anti-communism was the
convenient decoy from targeting the rise of neo-fascism in a
society that had won a permissive reprieve from its US conqueror's
de-Nazification program. As the brilliant German filmmaker Rainer
Werner Fassbinder showed in many of his films, postwar Germany
turned out to be very much what it would have been like if the
Nazis had won the war.
The Hallstein proposal was based on
the West German claim that as a democratic state, it should be
accepted as the only legitimate representative of the German
people. By contrast, East Germany claimed to be the legitimate
state of the German people because it was a dictatorship of the
proletariat. Democracy was used as a justification for legitimacy
in the West. Israel would learn from the former persecutor of its
people to use democracy to bargain for US acceptance of its
legitimacy in an Arab region, using anti-communism as currency to
secure US support, by purging the left totally from Israeli
domestic politics. The Hallstein Doctrine was adopted as a
principle of West German foreign policy in September 1955 and
remained in effect until the late 1960s when the idea of two
German states became a reality, and Germany remained divided until
the dissolution of the USSR in 1991.
Unfortunately,
whereas militarism under market capitalism stimulated economic
expansion by providing profit to private enterprise, it operated
to drain prosperity under communism, which could not find a
vehicle to recycle financial energy consumed by the arms race.
Militarism then was co-opted by finance capitalism as an effective
weapon against communism, which was an economic system that could
only be operative in peace. The reason war has not ended even
after the global war on communism has ended with the dissolution
of the USSR is because militarism and capitalism have a mutual
dependency. The end of the Cold War, while marking the failure of
peaceful communism, marked the triumph of capitalistic militarism.
Traditionally, European integration and trans-Atlantic
relations have been the two key components of postwar German
foreign policy. German trans-Atlantic relations are a euphemism
for German acceptance of US dominance. Both components were
strategic necessities for the Federal Republic of Germany after
World War II, and at the same time paved the way for West Germany
to rejoin the European community of nations. Since then, the US
had been Germany's protector ally both in and outside Europe. This
relationship remained after German unification.
Today,
while the US and Germany continue to share similar views on a
range of global issues such as terrorism, WMD (weapons of mass
destruction) proliferation and regional conflicts, there is
increasing divergence on what constitute proper policy responses
to these new threats and challenges. Germany subscribes to
multilateralism as a fundamental component of its foreign policy
in a multipolar world. Differences on issues such as Iraq, Iran,
the International Criminal Court, the Kyoto Protocol and the
Ottawa Convention have surfaced between the US and Germany as the
latter regains more of its full sovereignty and as its domestic
politics turns centrist as opposed to US unilateralism.
Strategically, German relations with China and Russia are evolving
along lines more independent from US policies.
During the
Cold War, trans-Atlantic relations in the West were dominated by
the need to defend the US and Western Europe jointly against the
Soviet threat. This was also the reason for US forces to remain in
Europe via NATO. With the end of the Cold War in 1989, the threat
posed by the Warsaw Pact and the Soviet Union disappeared
overnight. Since then, trans-Atlantic relations have faced new
challenges devoid of a common thread.
Having contained
domestic terrorism on its own soil, Germany, like many other
nations, is being pressured by the United States to join in the
"global war on terrorism" as a replacement of the threat
from global communism. International terrorism, which also put a
new dimension on the problem of WMD proliferation, created a
demand from the US for German military projection beyond German
borders, along with regional conflicts that allegedly had
supra-regional destabilizing effects, eg the Balkans, the Middle
East, Congo, Afghanistan, India-Pakistan. This definition of
supra-regional stability can involve Germany in distant conflicts
around the globe, since no regional conflict can remain isolated
in an interconnected global security network. The process of
greater European integration has spilled beyond historical
European borders into the Crimea and the Balkans, the Middle East,
Africa and Asia. Yet domestic threats from international terrorism
can be intensified by a country's military involvement beyond its
borders, as demonstrated by the terrorist bombing of trains in
Spain in response to deployment of Spanish troops in Iraq.
As
early as 1990, the European Union and the United States agreed in
the Transatlantic Declaration to establish a closely meshed
network of twice-yearly summit consultations. The terrorist
attacks of September 11, 2001, showed that security policy and
trans-Atlantic cooperation have not been removed with the end of
East-West conflict. Yet the nature of the cooperation has
undergone a fundamental change: comprehensive security implies
that internal and external security threats are interconnected.
There is also a historical legacy that set German relations with
Islamic nations apart from the Anglo-US legacy. Competition for
the hearts and minds of Islamic peoples had been a focus of the
contest between Germany and the Western Allies in the two World
Wars.
With the US drifting toward a policy of relying on
its super-power to impose a global geopolitical, economic and
financial architecture to its liking, a critical divergence has
emerged between the US and its NATO allies over the need for
conflict prevention and the most effective paths of conflict
resolution. US responses to terrorism threats, as manifested in
its invasion and occupation of Iraq, if not Afghanistan, have
created policy rifts between the EU and the US.
With the
end of the Soviet threat to Western Europe, US planners began to
ask whether the United States would always have to deploy troops
and equipment to sort out Europe's problems. Consequently, the US
was looking to Western Europe to take more responsibility for its
own defense and security. It has also become harder for US
policymakers to justify spending considerable amounts of money on
overseas deployments. Equally, the US remains hesitant over
overseas deployments because of experiences and lessons from the
Vietnam War. Despite being the main contributor to Operation
Desert Storm in the Persian Gulf during 1991, the later debacle of
Operation Restore Hope in Somalia only reinforced US objections to
its their ground forces in international hotspots.
For the
United States, modern warfare or military operations have to be
conducted with minimum risk to US lives. When the US refused to
deploy peacekeepers to UN operations in Croatia and
Bosnia-Herzegovina during 1992-95, or make the ground-force option
available during Operation Allied Force in Kosovo in 1999, many
Western European governments wondered whether the United States
could always be counted on if military intervention were needed in
an international crisis. Many were now asking the same questions
as the French had asked years before: Why should an economically
and politically powerful Western Europe not take more
responsibility for its own security, especially as there was no
longer the threat from the USSR and the Warsaw Pact?
As a
result, Western Europe had begun to develop a European Security
and Defense Identity (ESDI) since the early 1990s. In 1993, the EU
decided to embody parts of the Petersberg Tasks into the Treaty on
the European Union. This gave the WEU, Western Europe's own
security apparatus within NATO, a clear defined role in
humanitarian and conventional operations. The WEU was
strengthened. Among other changes, this included the appointment
of a secretary general and a planning cell that were responsible
for assessing and planning for operations as they arose. The
number of troops available to it was also increased. If necessary,
the WEU could call on other NATO units such as the UK/Netherlands
Landing Force. It also had its own rapid-response unit, EUROFOR,
which was made up of troops from France, Italy, Spain and
Portugal. It was envisaged that the WEU would act independently or
as part of a UN force in humanitarian operations in which the US
would not want to become involved. In other operations, it would
act as part of NATO. Both the US and Western Europe believed that
the proposals would strengthen NATO by providing better
cooperation and coordination, a problem NATO had suffered from in
multinational operations.
In 1999, however, the EU decided
to revise the WEU plans. It decided to adopt the crisis-management
and conflict-prevention elements itself. The WEU would remain as
an organization but would mostly concentrate on being a
contribution to NATO during a conventional war. At the European
Council's Cologne Summit in June 1999, the EU launched the Common
European Security and Defense Policy (CESDP). A later summit at
Helsinki built on Cologne and defined new EU structures to
undertake the crisis-management role. Both summits also proposed
an EU Rapid Reaction Force that would draw mostly on the member
states' commitments that had already been made to the WEU after
the Petersberg Tasks - the force levels being agreed at the
Military Capabilities Conference in November 2000.
The EU
force is not a European Army in the sense of a standing army. It
follows a similar character to NATO's Allied Command Europe (ACE)
Rapid Reaction Corps (ARRC) in which certain elements of member
states' armed forces are earmarked for rapid deployment if the
need arises. Only one part of the force could be considered a
standing army. In 1987, France and Germany decided to create a
Security and Defense Council (SDC) that would allow for better
coordination on joint Franco-German operations as part of the WEU
and later NATO. In 1991, both countries decided to back up the SDC
with a joint Franco-German brigade directly responsible to the EU
and the WEU (and NATO from 1993) - this became known as the
Eurocorps. Spain, Belgium and Luxembourg then went on to join,
allowing the WEU to call on a sizable force for immediate
deployment. With its headquarters in Strasbourg, the Eurocorps has
since deployed to Bosnia and Kosovo and is likely to feature in
the new EU force.
Germany goes its own way The
EU created the European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) to
ensure independent control of its security policy. The United
States views the ESDP as an attempt to replace NATO by creating a
security and defense system free of US dominance if not
involvement. Changing its Cold War role of an economic giant and a
geopolitical pigmy, drawing on the lesson of Iraq, Germany, the
dominant component in the EU, has taken on the task of trying to
prevent a military confrontation between the US and Iran. The
European initiative, led by Germany, France and an ambiguously
European Britain, proposes to give Iran substantial economic
benefits in exchange for Iranian commitment to cease efforts to
become a nuclear power. This initiative has received little
support either from Iranian domestic politics or from the US.
Washington views the European initiative with skeptical contempt.
US hawks want "regime change" and/or a "surgical
strike" against Iranian nuclear facilities. The EU views both
options as ineffective, based on what has transpired in Iraq,
since Iranian nuclear facilities are both dispersed and hardened,
and since the US faces a severe shortage of troops because of its
aggressive foreign policy, a problem that NATO is not at all keen
to help resolve with its own troops.
German officials
point out that their country's Iran initiative is a breakthrough,
since for the first time in recent memory the leading European
powers are united and proactive, as well as independent from
Washington, on a major issue that threatens peace. There is sober
concern about Iran playing off the US against Europe. German
officials see their role as demonstrating that there are
diplomatic alternatives to a repeat of US Iraq policy in Iran. If
the EU approach to Iran should break down, the EU, being still
economically dependent on the US, would have no choice but to join
the United States in economic sanctions against Iran.
Diplomatically, the EU would still be in a position to dissuade
the Bush administration from pursuing a military option or seeking
Security Council action that Russia and China could be expected to
oppose.
Since the end of World War II, nothing major has
happened on the world stage, good or bad, unless the United States
has orchestrated it. The only two notable exceptions are
chancellor Willy Brandt's efforts more than two decades ago to
engage the Soviet Union and East Germany, and British and French
diplomatic efforts that helped produce the deal to trade an end of
Libyan terrorism for an end to economic and diplomatic
sanctions.
Washington at first reacted negatively to both
of these initiatives. European involvement in world affairs beyond
continental borders has been welcomed by Washington only when
Europe served as a docile junior partner to US geopolitical
designs. On Iraq, most of Europe refused to accept this
subservient role. The Iraq war is immensely unpopular in Europe,
similarly to other regions around the globe, even in Britain,
which has happily accepted the role of geopolitical water boy for
US foreign policy since the end of World War II. German domestic
politics does not give Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder an option to
support the Bush administration's Iraq policy. The blatant
ineptitude of recent US foreign policy, particularly in the
Persian Gulf and the Middle East, has provided a window of
opportunity for European independent activism in world affairs.
The re-election of Schroeder as chancellor of Germany with
the help of the Green Party in September 2002 symbolized the end
of an era in close, albeit unequal, postwar relations between the
US and Germany. Schroeder held on to power after his SPD
(Sozial-demokratische Partei Deutschlands, or Social Democrat
Party), ran an intensely anti-US campaign based upon opposition to
US policy on Iraq. The SPD was tied with the conservative, pro-US
CDU-CSU (Christian Democrats), each getting 38.5% of the votes in
an election in which 80% of eligible voters took part. But with
the support of the Green Party's 8.6% vote, Schroeder defeated
Edmond Stoiber, the CDU candidate, by fewer than 9,000 votes over
the conservative coalition, giving the SPD-Green coalition 306
seats in the 603-seat parliament. The generally conservative
German press referred to the winning coalition derogatorily as the
Red-Green Coalition. The German Greens are a party of ecology and
used to be a pacifist party until their chairman, Joschka Fischer,
won a battle between the realists and the fundamentalists and got
the party to back German troops going into Kosovo.
The
re-election of Schroeder has been tremendously damaging to the
carefully nurtured five-decade-old US-German alliance. After
Schroeder's victory, a curt statement from the White House did not
congratulate him, or even mention him by name. It was a marked
contrast to a statement congratulating French President Jacques
Chirac, with whom Washington also has serious diplomatic problems,
on his May re-election. The White House also declined to arrange a
personal telephone call between Schroeder and Bush. In the view of
the US, Schroeder and key members of his cabinet played to anti-US
sentiment in Germany over foreign-policy issues during the final
weeks of the campaign beyond election politics to the point of
personal attacks on the US president.
Politically, the
Bush administration at the time leading up to the Iraq invasion
wanted Germany to join its international coalition to support its
disastrous policy on Iraq, with diplomatic backing at the UN, and
to grant the "coalition of the willing" complete access
to German airspace and allow the US and Britain full use of their
bases on German soil for offensive operations against Iraq. The
White House also wanted Germany to support more fully Washington's
"war on terrorism", especially with regard to the
extradition of terrorist suspects on German soil, even those with
German citizenship, and the release of crucial evidence that could
be used to help convict them in US courts. It also wanted Germany
to increase defense spending, which had fallen to just 1.5% of its
GDP, and to pay for costs associated with increased terrorism
security at US bases in Germany. The US has warned that if the
German government continues to hinder US policy toward Iraq and
elsewhere, such as Iran and in the UN, Washington may conclude
that Berlin is reneging on its defense-treaty obligations, which
would have serious political consequences, beyond being labeled
the "old Europe". US support for German membership in
the UN Security Council hangs in the balance.
With the
creation of NATO in April 1949, the US and Germany formally became
military allies. It was a turning point for both. For the first
time in its history, the United States had signed on to a
permanent alliance that linked it to Europe's defense; and for
Germany, as for Italy, membership in NATO signaled a new
acceptance internationally, an important political legitima
|